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WINTER 2023/2024 EARLY FORECAST SUMMARY

Reading images and descriptions can be somewhat confusing. So to simplify everything, here is what the first Winter season 2023/2024 forecast has to offer in a short version:
Europe is expected to have warmer-than-average temperatures over most of the western and central parts of the continent. Colder temperatures will be more defined in the northern and northeastern parts of the continent.
This means that the main circulation mode over Europe will be from north to south, meaning a northerly flow over Europe. The potential snowfall scenarios over central Europe will be bound to the intensity of the northerly flow and individual cold fronts coming down from the north.
The models are not in 100% agreement over the pattern in the North Atlantic. The main key is the positioning and strength of a potential high-pressure zone over Iceland/Greenland relative to the North American pattern.
Precipitation-wise, more precipitation is expected over central and southern Europe. The snowfall forecast shows less snowfall over Europe, despite more precipitation, except for the higher elevations.

"Odamentem egy párhoz...négyen voltak!"